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Plato @ Investment

~ Trying to make money out of all kinds of market condition

Plato @ Investment

Daily Archives: June 19, 2012

何時見底之四:究竟在哪時?

19 Tuesday Jun 2012

Posted by Platoooooo in June 2012

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大奇蹟日, 港股直通車

之前講了一大堆紙上談兵的觀察,今天講實戰上的觀察,究竟終極一跌時是會怎樣?

小弟特意的挑了幾個見底日看看:2007年8月阿爺公佈「港股直通車」的大奇蹟日、2008年10月雷曼爆煲後恆指跌到10600點之時、和2011年10月跌至16000之時,嘗試重新感受當時有什麼訊號告訴大家:「見底了!」

過去一個月如果大家有跟貼個市,就知道恆指跌時閒閒地1%、2%,還常常是上午跌少少,下午越跌越有!相反反彈之時,最多收市升100多點,升了一天大家就感覺似皇恩大赦,但第二天已經是後勁不繼。大家跌都無晒信心,高開300點就已是在爭相走避 (出貨)…

所以當有一天恆指可以大大力 gap up 500、600點而又一直支撐到尾 (最好是 gap up 後繼續升),又或者雖然平開但竟然越升越有最後升成800、1000點收市,就是見底之時!!再誇張點就像大奇蹟日當天,先大跌1000多點再單日轉向收服全部1000點的失地!雖然你只看收市的點數好像無乜特別,但那種買貨的勢頭,我仍記得當天望著那大利是機看得我目瞪口呆!!!

世事變幻,有可能這種終擊一跌今次不會發生,亦有可能這次見底時並沒有如此激昂的反彈。不過假如我們真的可以一直部留實力又有幸見到這種終極反擊,記得抓緊機會!

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